ESPN Computer Predicts Winner of Thursday Night’s Bucs vs. Falcons Game

Written by Vinod Yadav

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Tonight’s Thursday Night Football matchup features a clash between NFC South rivals as the Atlanta Falcons host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Falcons, led by new quarterback Kirk Cousins, have had a rollercoaster start to their 2024 season, alternating wins and losses to sit at 2-2. They currently find themselves in the middle of the pack across various statistical categories, indicating inconsistency.

On the other hand, the Buccaneers are enjoying a strong season under the surprising partnership of head coach Todd Bowles and quarterback Baker Mayfield. Tampa Bay boasts a 3-1 record, ranking in the top 12 for both points scored and points allowed. Mayfield has been particularly impressive, with an 8-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio and a completion percentage of 70.5%.

A victory for the Buccaneers would put them two games ahead in the NFC South, while a win for the Falcons would serve as a significant morale booster, helping to steady their season.

Prediction Overview

According to ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI), the Falcons have the edge in this matchup, with the computer model assigning them a 53.9% chance of winning. This slight advantage makes them narrow favorites, as sportsbooks have set the line with Atlanta as two-point favorites.

The game is scheduled to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET and will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime Video. Fans can expect an exciting contest as both teams vie for crucial early-season positioning in the NFC South.

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